Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.290729 0.340051 0.392171 0.451065 0.515480 0.583526 0.660571
2025-02-02 0.225108 0.292940 0.369345 0.460620 0.565561 0.681380 0.817809
2025-02-09 0.170177 0.247049 0.339274 0.455298 0.594700 0.754334 0.948501
2025-02-16 0.134835 0.217729 0.323242 0.462216 0.635526 0.840043 1.095164
2025-02-23 0.103979 0.188171 0.302083 0.458995 0.661618 0.907314 1.220698
2025-03-02 0.075113 0.155345 0.271608 0.439556 0.664259 0.944121 1.308790
2025-03-09 0.059691 0.139149 0.261276 0.444652 0.696898 1.017522 1.441996
2025-03-16 0.044196 0.119056 0.242219 0.435153 0.708446 1.063184 1.540426
2025-03-23 0.037560 0.112981 0.243395 0.453806 0.757815 1.157928 1.701865
2025-03-30 0.028897 0.100613 0.232697 0.453574 0.780251 1.217150 1.818228
2025-04-06 0.022274 0.090404 0.224022 0.455186 0.804517 1.278536 1.937656
2025-04-13 0.017992 0.084144 0.221248 0.465318 0.840713 1.356078 2.078785
2025-04-20 0.014819 0.079794 0.221695 0.480961 0.886042 1.447892 2.241607
2025-04-27 0.012088 0.075611 0.221877 0.495974 0.930688 1.539486 2.405452
2025-05-04 0.008526 0.066951 0.211982 0.493289 0.948397 1.593851 2.520165
2025-05-11 0.006467 0.062146 0.209201 0.502272 0.983705 1.673047 2.668967
2025-05-18 0.004305 0.055064 0.200365 0.499842 1.000982 1.726775 2.783669
2025-05-25 0.002180 0.044940 0.182626 0.479821 0.989547 1.738882 2.841260
2025-06-01 0.001397 0.041136 0.179152 0.485535 1.018722 1.809378 2.979404
2025-06-08 0.000622 0.034823 0.167967 0.475650 1.022083 1.842123 3.065400
2025-06-15 0.000451 0.034265 0.172080 0.495522 1.074364 1.946920 3.252411
2025-06-22 0.000183 0.030444 0.166292 0.495338 1.093324 2.002754 3.371424
2025-06-29 0.000056 0.027285 0.161695 0.497081 1.115282 2.063071 3.497061